San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: On paper everyone just looks at this series and says, well looks like the Cardinals get a clean sweep. But these are the series that usually provide a great deal of drama, and you see if the underdog can pull it out.
PITCHING: On the surface the Cardinals appear dominant having the best ERA in the league, and the probable Cy Young winner in Chris Carpenter. But the Padres can match the Cardinals at the top of the rotation with Jake Peavy and Adam Eaton. Both teams have exceptional bullpens. However, the Cardinals just lost Al Reyes for the playoffs and the normally reliable Ray King has been in a late season slump. The Cards still have a frontline closer in Jason Isringhausen. The Padres counter with the best bullpen in the NL; Rudy Seanez has had his best season, set up men Akinori Otsuka & Scott Linebrink pave the way fro Closer Trevor Hoffman.
ADVANTAGE: San Diego Padres
HITTING: The Cardinals have the most balanced lineup in all of baseball. Although it does not have the same pop it has had in the recent past, they have good speed, power and the back end of their lineup is solid. Albert Pujols can take over a series with his stick; Larry Walker and Jim Edmonds are experienced veterans who can provide some power. The two keys in their lineup are David Eckstein who gives opponents fits at the top and veteran Mark Grudzielanek who had a career high in RBI. The Padres lineup is pretty feeble, finishing 25th in the league in runs scored. Brian Giles is really the only consistent run producer. Khalil Greene, Ryan Klesko, and Joe Randa have all been very spotty down the stretch and will need to battle through injuries and help Giles drive in some runs.
ADVANTAGE: St. Louis Cardinals
INTANGIBLES: The Cardinals are a team full of “intangibles.” Though sometimes I think he is vastly overrated, Tony Larussa is still one hell of a manager. He has been in as many playoffs as anyone around and won a World Series title. Bruce Bochy is a solid manager and good baseball man, but he is not Tony Larussa who can manage his pitching staff brilliantly in the playoffs. In the field the Cardinals are as good as it gets. Pujols is an underrated First Baseman and up the middle they are excellent, from catcher Yadier Molina too double play combo Mark Grudzielanek (led all 2B in fielding) & David Eckstein, and the still unbelievable Jim Edmonds in center. Off the bench the Cardinals can bring RBI power with John Mabry and other vets like Einar Diaz, Hector Luna and So Taguchi.
ADVANTAGE: St. Louis Cardinals
PREDICTION: St. Louis in 5
I think Jake Peavy will win Game 1 and game 4 for the Padres, but their lineup is just too weak to sustain a whole series trying to outscore the Cardinals. I do think this can be a fun series, watching Larussa and Cards fans squirm because they are losing to the Padres.
Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves: To me this is the best series out there, so of course it will be a total dud. The Astros come in with the best three pitchers in baseball, while the Braves have used a core of young players to spark this latest playoff run, rather than their normal stable of veterans.
PITCHING: The Houston Astros have the best rotation since, well, since the Atlanta Braves of the late 90’s. Andy Pettitte has been great down the stretch, and he is as good a playoff pitcher as anyone in the history of the game. Roger Clemens and Roy Oswalt have been solid all year long and will both pitch well in the playoffs. Houston is a little weak in middle relief, but since their starter usually go 7 innings that isn’t much of a problem. Then they get to Brad Lidge who has emerged as a big time closer this season. The Braves still have John Smoltz, so you always have a chance. I wouldn’t be surprised if Smoltz pulled a Randy Johnson and come out of the pen to close a game down if Bobby Cox wanted him too. The Braves other starters are inexperienced and they are basically experimenting at closer with Kyle Farnsworth.
ADVANTAGE: Houston Astros
HITTING: This is very evenly matched, both teams getting contributions from unlikely suspects. The Astros have Willy Taveras and Craig Biggio at the top of their lineup which gives them great speed. Lance Berkman and Morgan Ensberg give them power at the corners and the youngsters Jason Lane and Chris Burke can provided some depth in the lineup. The Braves have a perfect top of the lineup. Speed in the leadoff spot, Rafael Furcal, combo of speed, power and smarts in the 2 hole, Marcus Giles, the all around hitter third, Chipper Jones, and the big bat fourth, Andruw Jones. They also have some young bats that can produce runs and have in big spots this season, with Ryan Langerhans, Jeff Francouer, and Brian McCann.
ADVANTAGE: Atlanta Braves
INTANGIBLES: Phil Garner has done a very admirable job with the Astros since he took over at the All Star break last year, but Bobby Cox has been around this show a long time, and won a ton of games doing it. Yes he has only 1 World Series title, but that is 1 more than Phil Garner and he has 4 more NL pennants and 14 more division titles. Both teams are solid in the field. However, in the outfield the Braves are exceptional; Jones, Langerhans, and Francouer catch everything and they all have great arms. Off the bench the Astros have a great veteran presence with Jose Vizcaino, Jeff Bagwell, Orlando Palmeiro (not a steroid user) and Mike Lamb. But the Braves can counter with Brian Jordan and Julio Franco (in the who’s more washed up part of the series).
ADVANTAGE: Atlanta Braves
PREDICTION: Atlanta in 4.
Everyone loves the Astros because of their great rotation and how great those pitchers are. But like I said there was a team in the late 90’s that had all this great pitching every year and that is why people picked them to win all the time. I think this Braves team has such a different make up, it is not loaded with veterans who have been their before, it is a bunch of young, green, hungry guys who just go out and have fun and play baseball.
Boston Red Sawx vs. Chicago White Sox: Let’s start the Ozzie Guillen retirement bus; if he wins he says he’s walking. The Red Sawx come in the favorites since they bring back most of their team from last season, but the White Sox won more games than anyone in the AL so it should prove to be a very competitive series.
PITCHING: The White Sox pitching staff was very good for 2/3 of the season, down the stretch they stumbled a little. However, while most of their starters were struggling, Jose Contreras was going 8-1 down the stretch. Mark Buerhle and Jon Garland are still better than any starters that Sawx have. The Sawx only solid starter all season was Tim Wakefield; David Wells, Matt Clement, Curt Schilling and Bronson Arroyo are all question marks. Both bullpens are spotty at best. The White Sox get the edge their solely because the Sawx bullpen is the equivalent of the Titanic. Mike Timlin is a great set up man, but an inexperienced closer in the playoffs. The White Sox counter with Cliff Politte & Neil Cotts have been good all year and Dustin Hermanson is experienced and closed pretty well most of the season.
ADVANTAGE: Chicago White Sox
HITTING: This is where the Red Sox shine. Obviously in the middle of their lineup they have the two big bats, Manny and Papi. At the top they still have Johnny Damon who can create havoc on the base paths. Edgar Renteria was a disappointment in the regular season, but he is a post season stud and veterans Bill Mueller and Jason Varitek are also clutch hitters. The White Sox relied on the speed of Scott Podsednik to get things going in their lineup, but injuries have slowed him down. Manager Ozzie Guillen knows how to manufacture runs and he has some power in the lineup with Paul Konerko. Veterans AJ Pierzynski, Jermaine Dye, and Joe Crede can also produce runs when needed. The White Sox will need all hands on deck to try and outscore the slugging Sawx.
ADVANTAGE: Boston Red Sawx
INTANGIBLES: Obviously the Sawx have somewhat of an advantage in this category, being the defending World Champs they know what it takes. But I love the way Ozzie Guillen manages, he mixes his baseball intellect with some gut instincts and it paid off for him this season. Terry Franco has done a great job this season, fighting off injuries and expectations to get his team back in the dance. Defensively the White Sox are as good as any team around up the middle. Aaron Rowand is and underrated center fielder and AJ Pierzynski and Joe Crede have built their reputations on defense. The Sawx won last year partly because their defense was so good, this year it has been a disaster. Neither team’s bench is particularly strong, but Timo Perez and Geoff Blum give the Pale Hosers some flexibility in late game situations.
ADVANTAGE: Chicago White Sox
PREDICTION: Chicago in 4
Everyone seems to be pointing toward this series as the signature one of the post season. I am not saying this series will disappoint but the Red Sox don’t seem to have that magic this year, they certainly did last year.
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels: Since when did the Angels become the greatest team in baseball? Now we all know I am a huge Yankees fan, but come on nobody seems to be given them a chance in this series. Last time I checked the Yankees just won their division (for the 8th consecutive year) and finished with the same record as the Angels.
HITTING: Both these teams hit well and hit in the clutch. The Yankees lineup though is tougher from top to bottom. Joe Torre made a switch by moving A-Rod to the second hole. Moving Robbie Cano to the 9 slot and keeping Jeter leadoff and it ignited the offense. Matsui is consistent, Sheffield is angry, and Bernie Williams can still be clutch. Add veterans Jason Giambi who showed great patience and power this season, Jorge Posada and Tino Martinez and you have what proves to be the most dangerous lineup in baseball. The Angels have the all steady team at the plate: Darrin Erstad, Adam Kennedy, Steve Finley, Bengie Molina, and Garrett Anderson. Then they have the electric Chone Figgins who wreaks havoc on the bases and the superstar in Vlad Guerrero. It seems to me that Vlad or A-Rod will step up and make their mark once and for all in a postseason series.
ADVANTAGE: New York Yankees
PITCHING: Before the season people thought the Yankees had one of the best rotations ever, well that proved not to be true. Mike Mussina had a very mediocre year, but is playoff experienced and Randy Johnson finally came on down the stretch. Johnson proved to be a big game pitcher too, beating the Red Sawx twice in September. Aaron Small and Shawn Chacon do not have any real pressure experience, except for the fact that they were relied on to save the Yankees season time and again, going a combined 17-3 as starters for New York. The Angels pitchers are also a model of consistency; Bartolo Colon, John Lackey and Jarrod Washburn all know how to pitch in the postseason. Both bullpens have electric closers, but my money is always on Mariano Rivera. The Angels have gotten great contributions from Scott Shields and Kelvim Escobar in middle relief. Tom Gordon has been a rock for the Yankees but Allen Embree and Tanyon Sturtze have been somewhat spotty of late.
ADVANTAGE: Even
INTANGIBLES: In the dugout both of these managers have proven themselves. Joe Torre did a great job this season retooling his lineup and pitching staff almost daily. However, Mike Sciosia severely out managed Torre a few years ago when the last met in the playoffs. I do think Torre wants to get out of the game, and winning it all would be the best way to go. Off the bench neither team is very deep, but the Yankees like to use their bench a little more. Defensively the Angels are very good; up the middle they are exceptional with Molina, Kennedy and Orlando Cabrera. The Yankees left side of the infield is hall of fame and their right side is hall of shame. In the outfield both teams are okay, in my opinion Vlad is somewhat overrated defensively. The Yankees are not the prohibitive favorite this year, and they have showed great resilience throughout the season.
ADVANTAGE: New York Yankees
PREDICTION: New York in 5
I think this series could be one for the ages. We know both teams are loaded with fiery competitors and neither will go away easily. I just think the Angles sometimes have trouble producing runs in the clutch, whereas the Yankees never fail to really score